Sunday, 8 September 2013

Been Having Economics/Finance Graduate School Thoughts, But...


In a post extolling the virtues of the Anglo-Saxon economics PhD, 2014 Nobel prize favorite Noah Smith (for his classification of the economics blogosphere trolls; although leaving out a troll type called the Krugmanite from his classification on allegedly ideological grounds stand against him) cites the good job prospects of the economics doctorate holder (hence the picture above) as a major reason to favor such an education, despite its many rumored travails. Agreed. Where there are business schools, there need to be business school professors, some of whom need to have doctorates in economics or finance (except in India, where you can start a business school in your backyard). 

My interest in economics comes from courses I took at IIMC over the two years of my MBA equivalent education there. These were the standard Microeconomics and Macroeconomics courses based on the textbooks linked, and a shorter course on the Indian economy, in the first year (of my studies at IIM, not of the Indian economy). In the second year I followed these up with courses on growth theory, development economics, international economics, economic crises and environmental economics (This does not imply that  growth leads to development leads to internationalization leads to crisis leads to environmental awareness). Alongside these courses, I had also been reading a number of economics blogs ( mainly Krugman, DeLong and Noah Smith). A blog subtitle Noah Smith used (I don't have enough bandwidth to be your exocortex)  accurately sums up the alarming frequency with which I was checking these blogs for updates.

After passing out of the course I was gifted a few idle months before I start working. Apart from wasting time on ignoble time-passes, I have been reading up on several textbooks, which I will shortly list here. These should ideally have made want to join an economics PhD program later, but as of now I feel a bit disappointed by the lack of real world relevance many of these books seem to suffer from. My rather lazy modus operandi is to read them from cover to cover, highlighting interesting/important points as I go along. These are the books I have read this summer:

Update: This post has been lying around in draft status for a while so publishing it in its present in complete format. I have yet to write reviews of some other books I read up the same summer, but that may not be happening.

Lectures on Macroeconomics (Blanchard and Fisher) 

Came recommended for the economic growth course. Sweeping presentation of benchmark models in various fields of modern macroeconomics of the neo-keynesian kind (mostly), with few exceptions such as financial economics and new trade theory. After a proper study of this I feel I will be able to claim a certain literacy in the methods of modern macroeconomics. However, I am disappointed by the lack of significant real world implications of the models discussed. 

The authors had already forewarned in the preface that the field was yet young and may not answer real world questions satisfactorily.The sense I got is that the field is by and large existing in an ivory tower where it has distanced itself from the need to have any bench-marking to the real world, and part of the reason is the obsession with mathematical complexity, especially of the optimization variety. However, this complexity then goes on to inhibit greater generalizations of the models, so they have to be analyzed under highly restrictive assumptions. This is a neither here nor there scenario that doesn't seem meaningful to contribute to.

Paul Krugman says something in this vein as wellWhat would truly non-neoclassical economics look like? It would involve rejecting both the simplification of maximizing behavior, going for full behavioral, and rejecting the simplification of equilibrium, going for a dynamic story with no end state.

That seems to be the extreme to which a person who studies the book should aspire to rise, but currently, using highly restrictive assumptions, most often that of the representative agent, are the common approach. Until a significantly higher stage is reached, I don't think such analyses will provide too much intellectual excitement to me.

To be continued when I get a long enough sojourn from work. 




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